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Bitcoin’s Resilience Above 150-Week MA Signals Strong Foundation for Next Bull Phase

Bitcoin’s Resilience Above 150-Week MA Signals Strong Foundation for Next Bull Phase

Published:
2025-12-28 17:12:53
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As of late December 2025, Bitcoin is demonstrating remarkable resilience by holding firmly above its 150-week weighted moving average (WMA), a historically significant technical level that has often demarcated major market cycle transitions. This sustained position, maintained over several weeks despite recent retracements from all-time highs, suggests a structurally strong foundation for the current market cycle. The asset's ability to defend this crucial long-term support zone, even amid cooling weekly momentum indicators and a rejection near the pivotal $100,000 psychological barrier, points to underlying bullish conviction among investors. Historically, the 150-week WMA has acted as a key support floor during bull market corrections and a launchpad for subsequent upward moves. Its current role as a defensive line indicates that the market is undergoing a healthy consolidation phase rather than a trend reversal. This period of cooling momentum following the intense rally is typical of mid-cycle behavior, allowing the market to digest gains, rebuild energy, and establish a higher base for the next potential advance. The broader narrative remains constructive, with this technical holding pattern reinforcing the view that Bitcoin's long-term uptrend is intact. Market participants are likely interpreting this stability above a multi-year moving average as a sign of maturation and increased institutional anchoring in the asset class. While short-term volatility may persist, the defense of this key level provides a technical confirmation that the core bullish thesis—driven by adoption, scarcity, and macro-financial trends—remains valid. The coming weeks will be critical to watch if this support continues to hold, potentially setting the stage for the next leg up in Bitcoin's evolution as a mainstream financial asset.

Bitcoin Holds Above Key 150-Week Moving Average Amid Cooling Momentum

Bitcoin continues to trade above its 150-week weighted moving average, a critical level historically tied to market cycle transitions. The asset has maintained this position for several weeks despite recent pullbacks from all-time highs, signaling underlying strength in the current cycle.

Weekly momentum indicators show signs of cooling after Bitcoin's rejection NEAR the $100,000 psychological barrier. However, the broader trend remains intact, with the 150-WMA acting as robust support rather than resistance—a notable divergence from previous bear markets where prolonged sub-WMA periods were common.

Market participants are closely watching this technical juncture, as sustained positioning above the moving average has typically preceded extended accumulation phases and subsequent bullish runs. The current price action suggests investors continue to view dips as buying opportunities, reinforcing the asset's long-term valuation narrative.

Bitcoin’s $126K Peak May Mark Cycle Top as Fidelity Warns of 2026 Downturn

Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer suggests Bitcoin’s October high of $126,000 could signal the current cycle’s peak. Historical patterns indicate a potential 2026 downturn, with support levels hovering near $65,000–$75,000. Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycles reveal a consistent structure: sharp rallies followed by brutal corrections. Despite reduced volatility, Bitcoin’s log charts (2013, 2017) still exhibit cyclicality.

Michael Saylor Signals New Bitcoin Purchase Amid MSTR Stock Decline

Michael Saylor teases another bitcoin acquisition despite MicroStrategy's stock plummeting 43% in 2025. The company holds 671,268 BTC (3.2% of total supply), but its mNAV ratio nears 0.93—dangerously close to the critical threshold of 1. A 15-20% drop in Bitcoin's price could force liquidation of reserves.

Saylor's cryptic December 21 tweet ('Green Dots ₿eget Orange Dots') mirrors his pattern of signaling purchases before SEC filings. This theatrical approach reinforces his reputation as Bitcoin's relentless institutional champion, even as regulators scrutinize the company's strategy.

Bitcoin's Precarious Balance: $70K Drop Looms as Technicals Flash Warning Signs

Bitcoin hovers near $88,000, its stagnation belying underlying market volatility. Analysts are split between anticipating a rebound or bracing for a sharp correction. Technical indicators and increased BTC inflows on Binance suggest growing bearish pressure.

The cryptocurrency's narrow trading range masks a battle between bulls and bears, with critical support levels at risk. A decisive break could trigger cascading effects across crypto markets.

Bitcoin Holds $88K Support Amid ETF Volatility as HYPER Gains Traction

Bitcoin's price consolidation between $88,000 and $89,500 reveals a bullish flag pattern, with $89,500 serving as the decisive breakout level. Despite the Bank of Japan's historic rate cut, BTC demonstrates resilience—suggesting the market had already priced in the move. Macro conditions strengthen the case for crypto, with cooling US inflation and shifting Fed rate expectations.

ETF flows tell a different story. After a $457 million inflow last Wednesday, the largest crypto ETFs bled $319 million over two sessions, creating neutral-to-negative momentum. This volatility hasn't dampened all opportunities—Bitcoin Hyper, a Layer-2 solution, continues to attract capital with $29.6 million raised in its presale, emerging as a hedge during choppy markets.

The broader narrative remains constructive. CPI data fuels speculation of 2026 rate cuts, while Bitcoin's technical structure holds firm. Traders now watch for either a decisive breakout above $89,500 or a breakdown from this tightening range.

Crypto Mining Bolsters Ruble Strength, Says Russia’s Central Bank

Cryptocurrency mining has emerged as a subtle yet meaningful contributor to the ruble's resilience, according to Russia’s Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina. While difficult to quantify due to its semi-opaque nature, mining operations generate consistent demand for the local currency through electricity payments, equipment purchases, and service fees. Profits reinvested into the domestic economy create a reinforcing loop.

Russia now commands 15.5% of global Bitcoin mining capacity, maintaining its position as the second-largest player behind the United States' 37.8% dominance. The sector's growth trajectory—though not explosive—adds ballast to currency markets already buoyed by traditional macroeconomic factors.

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